It took Avrupa Minerals (AVU.V) a few weeks longer than anticipated to release the first drill results of the Q4 2018 program on the Sesmarias project, part of their Alvalade license located in Portugal, as bringing good news right before PDAC usually generates healthy attention, but the numbers came out pretty interesting anyway in my view. The self-funded 2018 drill program appears to be a real eye-opener for management, as the recently completed 2,498 meters of drilling (6 holes) not only changed their insights on the position of the mineralized lenses discovered so far, but also showed other potentially mineralized structures by intercepting stockwork besides lenses. Step-out drilling of the known 10 Lens is also going according to plan, adding decent tonnage rapidly. Here is an overview of the identified mineralized envelopes/zones at Sesmarias:
The 10 Horizon as defined on this map from the February 11, 2019 news release has been promoted to the 10 Lens now, as sufficient drill results have been obtained so far. Management also provided investors with a schematic long section in the same news release, which is a conceptual drawing of geology and mineralized bodies:
Highlights from the program include the following results according to the latest March 11, 2019 news release:
The full table of results of hole SES026 looks like this:
This generates a copper equivalent grade of 1.86% CuEq, which is consistent with the other holes drilled into the 10 Lens, as can be seen here as a reminder:
It is also in line with the average grade of 1.5-1.7% CuEq management is looking for when building tonnage for an eventual deposit at Sesmarias.
These dimensions generate 4.5M cubic meters, which in turn result into 18Mt, when using a conservative gravity of 4t/cubic meter (m3). Average gravity is estimated by management to be ranging from 4 to 4.4t/m3. Using a midpoint would render 18.9Mt. It is interesting to see that the follow-up downhole survey (MALM) detected a further 150m extension, which hypothetically could bring in another 4Mt if continuous. The minimum economic tonnage target of management is 25Mt, so things are progressing quite nicely so far.
No economic mineralization has been hit there yet, but according to management the drill bit did hit sulfides, so there could be a mineralized envelope very close by. Holes SES026, SES027, and SES029 intersected more specifically a horizon of stockwork quartz-sulfide veining located 20-40 meters above the 10 lens. While mostly iron sulfides, the location of the horizon suggests potential for another possible mineral layer in the Sesmarias massive sulfide system.
These assays looked like this, and management interprets them as strong indicators for more mineralization in the direct vicinity, and might be the possible edge of a feeder zone for the previously discovered 8 Lens :
The location of holes SES026, SES027 and SES028 can be found here:
Long section view (looking to the east) of the “2” Lens, “26” Horizon and “10” Lens (in red). Note the large, unexplored area to the left of the 26 Horizon and the 10 Lens. The “8” Lens Area and “9” Horizon are marked with dashed red lines. The Eastern Bounding Fault is the darker blue background.
Hole SES003 is located very close to SES002, which showed 10.85 meters @ 1.81% Cu; 75.27 ppm Ag; 2.57% Pb; 4.38% Zn; 0.13% Sn, which is not bad as the average copper equivalent grade is 4.97% CuEq, however the volume of the 2 Lens is still too small to be economic as an underground orebody at some distance of the 10 Lens and 26 Horizon.
I will elaborate more on this in a second. First, according to management, the mineralization is open to the east boundary fault (see 3D model below in blue) and to the west intersection of the Devonian host rocks and the Tertiary gravels. The 10 Lens appears to be cut by post-mineral dikes to the north, but remains open to the south, though faulting may truncate (=limit) the lens about 100 meters south of SES021.
Plan view of the “10” Lens, “2” Lens, and “8-9” Lens/Horizon (red) and East Bounding Fault zone (transparent blue).
By revamping the exploration model, management means to describe that the current drill results had a profound impact on the understanding of the structural geology of Sesmarias. It appeared that the stratigraphy (complex of layers), especially the orientation of the various layers and mineralized zones, was different from previously understood. As Sesmarias has a pretty complex geology, with lots of faults, folds and potentially folded folds, it was hard to determine the structural controls of any mineralized zone perpendicular on the strike directions. According to the geologists, this area has been deformed several times in the past 360 million years, so this makes determining the linears (directions in different dimensions) very difficult at times. By simplifying everything to layers (rock material of the same character, which is much easier to visualize than anything else) and then trying to connect the same layer between drill holes, they found it easier to construct a pretty good subsurface geological map.
As it turned out, the orientation of the discovered lenses changed from predominantly sub-vertical to relatively horizontal because of new insights. I wondered how this process actually materialized for the geologists, and had a few follow-up questions as well. Fortunately management went out of their way to provide me with pretty extensive answers and explanations, to make sure yours truly, but also the audience would understand what the exploration program at Sesmarias is all about. Here we go:
“The change in “attitude” (orientation!) came about because we stepped away from the details of rock layers and re-grouped layers into packages of layers with similar characteristics. We were able to follow packages of layers from drill hole to drill hole, over 100’s of meters of distance, and we began to see uniformity of the layers around the area between the bounding fault on the east side of the main Sesmarias target area and the area towards the west where the layer packages are in contact with the Tertiary gravels and sediments. When we first saw the rocks, we were quite sure that the thin, well-folded units we observed were really and truly folded layers of rocks. However, now we realize that those folds may not actually be folded layers, but folded structural attributes (meaning more abstract comprehensions like axis or intersections). Basically we probably could not see the forest for the trees.
So, by following these packages from hole to hole, we (mostly meaning our geo Josh Coder) began to build a geological model using a 3D modeling program called GeoReka. By building the model, we began to see more regularity in the rocks, allowing more predictability in our mineralization. The layers generally dip to the east at 30-45 degrees, and plunge to the north. This means our target appears to dip to the northeast until it is stopped by a high-angle fault, which in-house we call the Joana Fault. The Joana Fault does not run in a straight line, so this is a bit of a complication, but we do know now why some of our holes drilled with both Antofagasta and Colt (previous JV partners) did not hit mineralization.
For now, this fault is limiting mineralization on its west side. This will hopefully change when we do more drilling east of this particular fault. Right now, we think the rock units/layers have been down-dropped on the east side of the fault, but this is only based on limited information from 2-3 holes drilled further away to the east. One of those holes was our own SES014, which we now think may have been stopped short (we actually thought the same when we drilled it, but we had a lot less knowledge back then). In any case, there is an off-hole geophysical conductor in SES014, which we have described as our eastern basin target.”
As hole SES014 is located quite a bit to the east and away from the big fault, I was wondering why management thought there could be mineralization present, also considering the different rock types over there which usually don’t contain mineralization based on earlier results, despite all potential vertical and lateral displacements. They had this to say:
“When talking about having more chance to the east, we meant just across the fault. There is a chance over there because of the potential downdrop (vertical movement), compared to the west side of the fault. That means the target rocks/layers are deeper, though certainly possibility of horizontal movement exists, as well.”
Again as a reminder, Sesmarias contains a large amount of faults and off-setting structures, constructing an interesting puzzle from a geological standpoint:
Management elaborates further on their exploration plan:
“The re-interpretation of the orientation of layers gives us a lot of license to re-orient the mineralization, as it is basically just another bed/layer. SES026 targeted the “extension” of the layer, successfully intersecting massive sulfide mineralization. SES027 was less successful, as it intersected weak mineralization and mafic intrusive rocks, which may represent the source of the mineralization. We are thinking that the mafic rocks represent part of an intrusional dome, right now with known mineralization to the south of it. We do not know yet if there is further mineralization on the north side of the dome, as portrayed in the long section further below.
So we estimate a potential strike length of somewhere between 600 and 900 meters of massive sulfide mineralization, which stops somewhere between holes 26 and 27. The new, more horizontal positioning of the massive sulfide allows for a much bigger target at shallower depth, where the more vertical positioning gives a target of the same shape, but gets very deep, very quickly.”
Therefore I view this adjusted orientation as a positive, as it saves drilling budget. On my question if cross sections could be provided anytime soon, management answered they needed some more drilling in order to get sufficient understanding of continuity. They added:
“Right now, 2, 8, and 26 are more horizons than actual masses, and presumably smaller than the 10 Lens. Horizon 2 appears to be small, though high grade (SES002), and it is open to the south. We have seen traces of Horizon 26 in 3-4 holes now, and it is presently manifested by strong stockwork to semi-massive sulfide material. We think that there is a possibility that Horizon 8 could be an extension of the 10 Lens, because it is roughly at same depth, and horizontal displacement of surrounding packages through faults checks out with this concept. Horizon 8 could have its own feeder source as it is on the other side of this basalt dome, as both Horizon 8 and the 10 Lens are roughly parallel to each other and to stratigraphy. More drilling is necessary to figure this all out.”
Looking at the schematic long section again, I noticed that 025 and 027 missed the massive sulphide lenses. It made me wonder if by more vertical faulting/displacements there could be (off set) extensions of the lenses/horizons, or these basalt domes could be structurally consistent and not broken up/displaced by faults, limiting mineralized potential in these areas except for stockwork (027)? To what extent could this stockwork be useful/economic? Management had this to say:
“SES025 “hit” the 2 Lens at predicted depth, but it was very thin (<10 cm). This probably has something to do with vagaries in location of the Joana Fault.
There is still plenty of opportunity for faulting to displace/move/disrupt/extend the mineral potential. We do need more drilling to be able to ascertain that. Sometimes, the stockwork mineralization is even better than the massive sulfide mineralization. While we have encountered a long intercept of stockwork mineralization, it is probably the edge of the feeder zone. Sometimes, if there is gold in the system, the stockwork can actually carry economic gold grades.
For a number of years, back in the 1990’s I believe, a large stockwork zone at the Rio Tinto Mine in Spain was mined for its gold. Now, of course, Rio Tinto is back in business as a copper mine. I believe they mine both massive ore and stockwork ore at RT. Same at Neves Corvo. Stockwork mineralization can be economic for base metals and precious metals, depending on what metals are in the system. Using Neves Corvo as an example, I understand that some of the stockwork zones can be much higher grade in base metals, but perhaps there is more waste rock.”
For now it the stockwork mineralization doesn’t generate economic results, but it is still early days of course. On a different note, to me the targets between Lousal and Caveira have always been very interesting as well, as the historic resource of Lousal seems an easy target. I initially thought of the Lousal historic resource as a relatively advanced project, which might be relatively easy to prove up by 15-30% verification drilling (depending on quality of historic drill data of course) to get it to 43-101. Management had this to say about this topic:
“Lousal is an interesting target for sure. Unfortunately, its hard to find potential partners who wish to do greenfields exploration or “light” brownfields work, as most companies are after high cost, low quality, “advanced” projects out on the market. Exploration is not always viewed as an inexpensive way to get into a valuable project. It always comes down to available funds. If you are on a really good exploration project, and you keep getting good results, you can move quickly. For now we had to prioritize, and picked Sesmarias first.”
After this little Q&A on geology, I wanted to know a bit more about their exploration plans. Therefore I wanted to know how many meters they are going to drill at Sesmarias in how many holes at what drilling cost per meter all-in, when this will start and if they have schematic sections of the old Lousal resource and the other targets based on historic drilling. Besides this, I was also curious about their drilling strategy if they could or would like to share. Here is their answer:
“Ideally, we would like to see minimum 10,000 meters per year for the next 2-3 years once our next level of license is approved. This was the idea with the potential partner, as we reported back in March 2018. Before we are able to drill at Lousal, we have to go over all the old work an construct a 3D model. That would be a full-time job for a computer-savvy geologist for a couple of months. In the near future, we would like to see Sesmarias, Lousal, and Monte da Bela Vista drilled to ascertain the resource potential.
Then there is the Caveira Mine area, and at least a half dozen other mineral targets that we know about already on the trend from Caveira to Aldeia dos Elvas at the southwest corner of the license. The whole idea of having a 10 million euro investment into Alvalade was to do all this, that would be 30-40 thousand meters. We estimate that US$1 million can get us 3,000+ meters of drilling, so 1 million euros can get us 3,500+ meters, all in. Thus 10 million euros is 35,000 meters or more. So, 300 euros per meter. We did this with Antofagasta in the past.”
This wraps up my little interview with management as part of this update. According to their estimates, they ideally would like to spend about US$3-4M annually on Alvalade, but as I view it, Avrupa is already on its way to their minimum economic threshold of 25Mt @1.5-1.7% CuEq just based on the results for the 10 Lens. This means with a few more good step out results they could already have a 100% owned, economic project on their hands without even tapping into JV partners, and as soon as the markets become (more) aware of this, there might very well be a share price re-rating around the corner, and further capital raises could be done at lower dilution levels in that case. With copper and zinc prices picking up again and both with good fundamentals, the Avrupa Minerals story should be able to attract more attention this year.
I hope you will find this article interesting and useful, and will have further interest in my upcoming articles on mining. To never miss a thing, please subscribe to my free newsletter on my website www.criticalinvestor.eu, and follow me on Seekingalpha.com, in order to get an email notice of my new articles soon after they are published.
The author is not a registered investment advisor, and currently has a long position in this stock. Avrupa Minerals is a sponsoring company. All facts are to be checked by the reader. For more information go to www.avrupaminerals.com and read the company’s profile and official documents on www.sedar.com, also for important risk disclosures. This article is provided for information purposes only, and is not intended to be investment advice of any kind, and all readers are encouraged to do their own due diligence, and talk to their own licensed investment advisors prior to making any investment decisions.
Sesmarias project; Alvalade license
This newsletter/article is not meant to be investment advice, as Criticalinvestor.eu (from now on website, newsletter, and all persons or organisations directly related to it, for example but not limited to: owner, editor, the Seekingalpha author The Critical Investor, publisher, host company, employees, associates, sponsoring companies) is no registered investment advisor. Therefore it is not intended to meet your specific individual investment needs and it is not tailored to your personal financial situation. This newsletter/article reflects the personal and therefore subjective views and opinions of Criticalinvestor.eu and nothing else. The information herein may not be complete, up to date or correct. This newsletter/article is provided in good faith but without any legal responsibility or obligation to provide future updates.
Through use of this website and its newsletter viewing or using you agree to hold Criticalinvestor.eu harmless and to completely release them from any and all liability due to any and all loss (monetary or otherwise), damage (monetary or otherwise), or injury (monetary or otherwise) that you may incur.
You understand that Criticalinvestor.eu could be an investor and/or active trader, meaning that Criticalinvestor.eu could buy and sell certain securities at all times, more specific any or all of the stocks mentioned in own newsletters/articles and other own content like the Watchlist, Leveraged List, etc.
No part of this newsletter/article may be reproduced, copied, emailed, faxed, or distributed (in any form) without the express written permission of Criticalinvestor.eu. Everything contained herein is subject to international copyright protection. The full disclaimer can be found here.